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Stadium Background

SC Vianense vs Sao Joao de Ver - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Estádio Dr. José de Matos, Viana do Castelo
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SC Vianense host Sao Joao de Ver in the Liga 3. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Sao Joao de Ver have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while SC Vianense have conceded 1.11 and scored 2.18. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.50 - 0.94) back SC Vianense to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
SC Vianense
30%
Draws
12%
Sao Joao de Ver
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Vianense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SC Vianense lately — more wins on the board than Sao Joao de Ver.
  • Win probability leans SC Vianense's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SC Vianense Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Joao de Ver Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vianense Sao Joao de Ver
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.18 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vianense 85 / 100
Sao Joao de Ver 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vianense Sao Joao de Ver

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vianense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SC Vianense scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Sao Joao de Ver's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Solid form: SC Vianense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Sao Joao de Ver registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Vianense VS Sao Joao de Ver
2.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vianense

(Home)
20 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 3
SC Vianense
12 Sept
Varzim
1 : 2
SC Vianense
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2
Pacos Ferreira
30 Aug
SC Vianense
8 : 0
Minas de Argozelo
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
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Sao Joao de Ver

(Away)
13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Florgrade
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
22 Aug
Trofense
1 : 0
Sao Joao de Ver
16 Aug
Sao Joao de Ver
1 : 3
AD Fafe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
2 Leca 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 AD Marco 09 6 3 1 2 6:5 10
4 Varzim 5 3 0 2 8:5 9
5 AD Fafe 5 2 2 1 8:4 8
6 SC Vianense 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
8 Trofense 5 1 1 3 2:7 4
9 Sao Joao de Ver 5 0 3 2 3:6 3
10 Pacos Ferreira 5 0 2 3 5:10 2
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Os Belenenses 5 5 0 0 13:2 15
2 Atletico CP 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
3 Oliveirense 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
4 Mafra 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
5 Louletano 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
6 Caldas SC 5 2 1 2 5:5 7
7 Santarem 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
8 Covilha 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
9 Lusitano GC 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
10 Vitoria Sernache 5 0 1 4 3:13 1
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)