Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Vila Real vs Atletico Arcos

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pacheco J.
63' Event
Neto

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
SC Vila Real
30%
Draws
23%
Atletico Arcos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SC Vila Real

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SC Vila Real have won more games recently than Atletico Arcos.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors SC Vila Real here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Arcos Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real Atletico Arcos
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 13 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs Atletico Arcos
1:1
Oct 20, 2024 Taça de Portugal
SC Vila Real vs Atletico Arcos
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Atletico Arcos vs SC Vila Real
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Atletico Arcos Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 41 / 100
Atletico Arcos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real Atletico Arcos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SC Vila Real Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Atletico Arcos conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

SC Vila Real scored in 64% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Atletico Arcos registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS Atletico Arcos
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 7

Atletico Arcos

(Away)
30 Aug
Merelinense
2 : 0
Atletico Arcos
13 Apr
Paredes
1 : 1
Atletico Arcos
05 Apr
Atletico Arcos
1 : 3
AD Limianos
29 Mar
Dumiense
3 : 2
Atletico Arcos
16 Mar
Brito
3 : 1
Atletico Arcos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Guimaraes B 26 17 5 4 45:21 56
2 Paredes 26 16 4 6 51:21 52
3 GD Braganca 26 12 8 6 37:28 44
4 Rebordosa 26 12 6 8 39:25 42
5 Brito 26 12 4 10 41:40 40
6 SC Vianense 26 11 3 12 31:37 36
7 Tirsense 26 10 5 11 39:35 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 10 5 11 30:32 35
9 AD Limianos 26 8 10 8 37:36 34
10 GD Joane 26 7 7 12 26:38 28
11 Pevidem 26 7 7 12 23:34 28
12 Os Sandinenses 26 7 7 12 30:41 28
13 Dumiense 26 6 6 14 25:52 23
14 Atletico Arcos 26 6 5 15 24:38 23
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)