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SC Vila Real vs GD Resende Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
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Match Events

7' Event
Simao D.
41' Event
Marado P.
83' Event
Mendez A.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between SC Vila Real and GD Resende finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Resende.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
SC Vila Real
35%
Draws
52%
GD Resende
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GD Resende

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Recent numbers put SC Vila Real and GD Resende close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans GD Resende's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 19%
GD Resende Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real GD Resende
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 0.97 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs GD Resende
0:3
Nov 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
GD Resende vs SC Vila Real
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

GD Resende Compare

Top Goalscorer Simao D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marado P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 12 / 100
GD Resende 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real GD Resende

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Resende Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Vila Real's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

GD Resende's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

SC Vila Real has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS GD Resende
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

GD Resende

(Away)
18 Apr
FC Alpendorada
3 : 4
GD Resende
12 Apr
GD Resende
0 : 2
Cinfaes
04 Apr
Florgrade
1 : 1
GD Resende
22 Mar
GD Resende
1 : 1
Leca
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)