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SC Vila Real vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

67'
Biague J.
67'
Biague J.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2025/2026 game between SC Vila Real and Leca finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
SC Vila Real
35%
Draws
52%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Leca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Leca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Leca a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 10%
Leca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real Leca
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 12 10
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 0.97 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.84 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Leca vs SC Vila Real
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Leca
0:0
Apr 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SC Vila Real vs Leca
2:2
Feb 17, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Leca vs SC Vila Real
2:0
May 10, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Leca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 22 / 100
Leca 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Vila Real's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leca conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SC Vila Real stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS Leca
0.8 Goals Scored 2.25
2.4 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 6

Leca

(Away)
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Leca
1 : 0
GD Braganca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rebordosa 26 17 7 2 41:17 58
2 Leca 26 14 9 3 50:23 51
3 Cinfaes 26 10 10 6 33:21 40
4 Beira Mar 26 10 8 8 30:22 38
5 FC Alpendorada 26 9 11 6 30:22 38
6 Florgrade 26 9 10 7 28:28 37
7 Vila Mea 26 7 13 6 29:28 34
8 Uniao Lamas 26 9 6 11 27:33 33
9 SC Salgueiros 26 7 11 8 20:19 32
10 Anadia 26 7 9 10 27:33 30
11 Aparecida 26 9 4 13 36:51 28
12 GD Resende 26 6 10 10 27:31 28
13 SC Vila Real 26 5 12 9 23:30 27
14 CD Gouveia 26 1 4 21 14:57 7
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)