Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SC Vila Real vs Ribeirao Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Liberal A.
22' Event
Willian
27' Event
Ferreira S.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 game between SC Vila Real and Ribeirao finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SC Vila Real.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SC Vila Real
35%
Draws
32%
Ribeirao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SC Vila Real come out ahead of Ribeirao on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on SC Vila Real taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SC Vila Real Clean Sheet 20%
Ribeirao Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SC Vila Real Ribeirao
Matches Played 45 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 17 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.02 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SC Vila Real vs Ribeirao
4:2
Sep 10, 2023 Taça de Portugal
SC Vila Real vs Ribeirao
0:2
Aug 27, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Ribeirao vs SC Vila Real
2:0
Apr 12, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
SC Vila Real vs Ribeirao
2:1
Feb 15, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Ribeirao vs SC Vila Real
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SC Vila Real Compare

Top Goalscorer Liberal A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.36

Ribeirao Compare

Top Goalscorer Willian
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fidelis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SC Vila Real 36 / 100
Ribeirao 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SC Vila Real Ribeirao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Vila Real's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 45 recent games.

Ribeirao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Ribeirao has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SC Vila Real VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SC Vila Real

(Home)
18 Apr
Leca
3 : 0
SC Vila Real
12 Apr
SC Vila Real
1 : 1
Vila Mea
04 Apr
SC Vila Real
2 : 2
Rebordosa
22 Mar
Aparecida
3 : 1
SC Vila Real
15 Mar
SC Vila Real
0 : 3
GD Resende
Page 1 of 9

Ribeirao

(Away)
07 Apr
Ribeirao
1 : 1
AD Limianos
24 Mar
Tirsense
3 : 0
Ribeirao
17 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 1
CDC Montalegre
09 Mar
Brito
4 : 0
Ribeirao
03 Mar
Ribeirao
0 : 0
CD Portosantense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Limianos 26 12 9 5 35:27 45
2 Pevidem 26 11 11 4 31:22 44
3 Tirsense 26 12 7 7 37:24 43
4 Camacha 26 11 5 10 36:30 38
5 Brito 26 10 8 8 26:26 38
6 Dumiense 26 9 8 9 30:32 35
7 Os Sandinenses 26 8 11 7 31:31 35
8 SC Vila Real 26 8 11 7 24:22 35
9 Maritimo B 26 10 5 11 34:26 35
10 CDC Montalegre 26 8 10 8 25:31 34
11 Vilar de Perdizes 26 7 10 9 29:32 31
12 CD Portosantense 26 6 9 11 22:27 27
13 SC Mirandela 26 6 6 14 25:37 24
14 Ribeirao 26 5 8 13 19:37 20
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 (Main)