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Scafatese vs Sorrento - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Raffaele Guariglia, Agropoli
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Scafatese host Sorrento in the Serie C - Group C. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Sorrento have shipped 1.28 goals a game lately, while Scafatese have conceded 1.03 and scored 2.07. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.50, favoring Scafatese. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Scafatese
30%
Draws
35%
Sorrento
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Scafatese come out ahead of Sorrento on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Scafatese's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Scafatese Clean Sheet 68%
Sorrento Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scafatese Sorrento
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 13
Draws 7 3
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scafatese 50 / 100
Sorrento 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scafatese Sorrento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scafatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scafatese scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Scafatese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sorrento conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Sorrento's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Scafatese VS Sorrento
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Scafatese

(Home)
27 Sept
Scafatese
2 : 0
Altamura
19 Sept
Cosenza
1 : 1
Scafatese
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Catania
1 : 2
Scafatese
06 Sept
Casertana
2 : 2
Scafatese
Page 1 of 6

Sorrento

(Away)
03 Oct
Sorrento
2 : 0
Casarano
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2
Bari
15 Sept
Cavese
2 : 3
Sorrento
12 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 0
Picerno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)