Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scanzorosciate vs Ciserano-Bergamo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Belloli F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 game between Scanzorosciate and Ciserano-Bergamo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scanzorosciate.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Scanzorosciate
35%
Draws
46%
Ciserano-Bergamo
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ciserano-Bergamo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ciserano-Bergamo have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Scanzorosciate are scoring more at 1.26.
  • Model gives Ciserano-Bergamo a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Scanzorosciate Clean Sheet 23%
Ciserano-Bergamo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scanzorosciate Ciserano-Bergamo
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 14 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.26 0.97
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Ciserano-Bergamo
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Scanzorosciate
2:0
Apr 1, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Ciserano-Bergamo
0:1
Dec 16, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Ciserano-Bergamo vs Scanzorosciate
2:0
Jan 19, 2020 Serie D - Group B
Scanzorosciate vs Ciserano-Bergamo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scanzorosciate Compare

Top Goalscorer Belloli F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Ciserano-Bergamo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scanzorosciate 13 / 100
Ciserano-Bergamo 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scanzorosciate Ciserano-Bergamo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ciserano-Bergamo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scanzorosciate found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).

Ciserano-Bergamo let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Scanzorosciate remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scanzorosciate VS Ciserano-Bergamo
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Scanzorosciate

(Home)
08 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 0
Scanzorosciate
05 Aug
Ospitaletto
1 : 0
Scanzorosciate
03 May
Real Calepina
1 : 1
Scanzorosciate
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3
USD Casatese
19 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 0
AC Leon
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Ciserano-Bergamo

(Away)
03 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 1
Castellanzese
26 Apr
Pavia
3 : 0
Ciserano-Bergamo
19 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
6 : 1
Vogherese
12 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Ciserano-Bergamo
02 Apr
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 2
Varesina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore Caratese 34 19 11 4 58:27 68
2 USD Casatese 34 16 13 5 49:28 61
3 Chievo 34 18 6 10 52:43 60
4 AC Milan U23 34 16 8 10 62:37 56
5 AC Leon 34 14 11 9 44:34 53
6 Brusaporto 34 15 6 13 41:38 51
7 Oltrepo 34 15 8 11 38:36 50
8 Scanzorosciate 34 11 14 9 41:33 47
9 Villa Valle 34 13 8 13 43:46 47
10 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 11 13 10 33:31 46
11 Caldiero Terme 34 10 15 9 50:40 45
12 Real Calepina 34 11 9 14 42:47 42
13 Castellanzese 34 10 11 13 41:39 41
14 Breno 34 9 11 14 39:51 38
15 Pavia 34 9 10 15 36:47 37
16 Varesina 34 7 15 12 38:44 36
17 Sondrio 34 8 7 19 37:64 31
18 Vogherese 34 2 8 24 21:80 -17
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)