Sport Picks
Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
Match Events
14'
14'
Payne J.
28'
28'
80'
80'
Moncur G.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The National League North game between Scarborough Athletic and Bedford finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bedford.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bedford
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bedford come out ahead of Scarborough Athletic on wins alone.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 17%
Bedford Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scarborough Athletic | Bedford |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 24, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 National League North
Bedford vs Scarborough Athletic
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scarborough Athletic Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Bedford Compare
Top Goalscorer Payne J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scarborough Athletic 31 / 100
Bedford 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scarborough Athletic Bedford
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Scarborough Athletic scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Bedford conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Scarborough Athletic went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scarborough Athletic VS Bedford
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Scarborough Athletic
(Home) 24 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Bedford
17 Oct
Hebburn Town
0 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
10 Oct
Radcliffe
4 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Bedford
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 Telford
29 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
5 : 1 Southport
Page 1 of 3
Bedford
(Away) 24 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Bedford
20 Oct
Cray Wanderers
3 : 2 Bedford
17 Oct
Bedford
0 : 0 Cray Wanderers
10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0 Bedford
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3 Bedford
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Bedford
20 Oct
Cray Wanderers
3 : 2 Bedford
10 Oct
Chester
1 : 0 Bedford
06 Oct
Wingate & Finchley
1 : 3 Bedford
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1 Bedford
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 24:7 | 26 |
| 2 | Oxford City | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Macclesfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:11 | 24 |
| 4 | South Shields | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:18 | 23 |
| 5 | King’s Lynn | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:16 | 21 |
| 6 | Hednesford | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 23:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Chester | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 8 | Buxton | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:23 | 20 |
| 9 | Bedford | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Hebburn Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:23 | 19 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:12 | 17 |
| 12 | Spalding United | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:11 | 17 |
| 13 | Chorley | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Worksop | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Marine | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:13 | 16 |
| 16 | Harborough | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 17 | Scarborough Athletic | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 18 | Merthyr Town | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 15:16 | 15 |
| 19 | Radcliffe | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 16:21 | 15 |
| 20 | Brackley | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:24 | 15 |
| 21 | Telford | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13:20 | 13 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 17:24 | 11 |
| 23 | Southport | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13:23 | 10 |
| 24 | Spennymoor | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:26 | 7 |
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