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Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League North
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Scarborough Athletic host Buxton in the National League North. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Buxton have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Scarborough Athletic have conceded 1.31 and scored 1.31. Past meetings favor Buxton slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 28, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.44) point toward Buxton. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Scarborough Athletic
20%
Draws
51%
Buxton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buxton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Buxton carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Buxton have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 16%
Buxton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scarborough Athletic Buxton
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 8 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
4:2
Apr 11, 2026 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
2:0
Sep 2, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Buxton
0:3
Nov 5, 2024 National League North
Buxton vs Scarborough Athletic
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scarborough Athletic 31 / 100
Buxton 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scarborough Athletic Buxton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Buxton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: Scarborough Athletic scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Buxton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Scarborough Athletic stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scarborough Athletic VS Buxton
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Scarborough Athletic

(Home)
24 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2
Bedford
17 Oct
Hebburn Town
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
10 Oct
Radcliffe
4 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Buxton

(Away)
27 Oct
Buxton
3 : 0
Harborough
24 Oct
Chorley
2 : 3
Buxton
17 Oct
Buxton
2 : 2
Worksop
10 Oct
King’s Lynn
1 : 0
Buxton
03 Oct
Buxton
0 : 2
South Shields
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford City 13 8 3 2 25:8 27
2 Hereford 13 8 2 3 24:8 26
3 South Shields 13 8 2 3 22:18 26
4 Macclesfield 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
5 Chester 13 7 2 4 17:13 23
6 Buxton 14 7 2 5 26:23 23
7 Bedford 13 7 1 5 17:16 22
8 Hednesford 14 6 3 5 23:20 21
9 King’s Lynn 14 6 3 5 22:21 21
10 Morecambe 13 6 2 5 19:12 20
11 Chorley 13 6 2 5 23:21 20
12 Worksop 14 6 2 6 20:20 20
13 Hebburn Town 13 5 4 4 18:23 19
14 Spalding United 13 5 3 5 16:13 18
15 Marine 13 5 1 7 15:15 16
16 Harborough 13 4 4 5 12:16 16
17 Telford 14 4 4 6 14:20 16
18 Brackley 14 4 4 6 17:26 16
19 Scarborough Athletic 13 4 3 6 19:18 15
20 Merthyr Town 14 3 6 5 15:19 15
21 Radcliffe 14 5 0 9 16:24 15
22 Darlington FC 14 3 2 9 17:25 11
23 Southport 13 2 4 7 13:23 10
24 Spennymoor 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)