Sport Picks
Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League North 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this National League North matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Scarborough Athletic have won more games recently than Merthyr Town.
- Model gives Scarborough Athletic a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Scarborough Athletic have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 20%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scarborough Athletic | Merthyr Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town
0:0
Apr 18, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs Merthyr Town
2:1
Aug 25, 2025 National League North
Merthyr Town vs Scarborough Athletic
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scarborough Athletic 42 / 100
Merthyr Town 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scarborough Athletic Merthyr Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Merthyr Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Scarborough Athletic found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Scarborough Athletic went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scarborough Athletic VS Merthyr Town
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Scarborough Athletic
(Home) 06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
03 Oct
Macclesfield
2 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
26 Sept
Brackley
1 : 1 Scarborough Athletic
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2 Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Scarborough Athletic
1 : 2 Macclesfield
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1 Telford
29 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
5 : 1 Southport
18 Aug
Scarborough Athletic
3 : 0 Spennymoor
Page 1 of 3
Merthyr Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1 Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0 Merthyr Town
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0 Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1 Merthyr Town
31 Aug
Buxton
2 : 1 Merthyr Town
22 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hereford | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 22:5 | 23 |
| 2 | Macclesfield | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Oxford City | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:7 | 20 |
| 4 | South Shields | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 20 |
| 5 | Hebburn Town | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 6 | Spalding United | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Chester | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 8 | King’s Lynn | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 9 | Buxton | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Bedford | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:14 | 16 |
| 11 | Morecambe | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 12 | Chorley | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | 14 |
| 13 | Merthyr Town | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Scarborough Athletic | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 15 | Hednesford | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 12 |
| 16 | Marine | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 17 | Harborough | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 18 | Worksop | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 10:16 | 12 |
| 19 | Brackley | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Southport | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 21 | Telford | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 22 | Darlington FC | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 7 |
| 23 | Spennymoor | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Radcliffe | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 9:20 | 6 |
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