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Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields

England England

National League North Scarborough Sports Village, Scarborough
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Match Events

11' Event
Finch S.
58'
Mann E.

AI Match Summary

The National League North game between Scarborough Athletic and South Shields finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward South Shields.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Scarborough Athletic
30%
Draws
47%
South Shields
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: South Shields

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and South Shields come out ahead of Scarborough Athletic on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular National League North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Scarborough Athletic Clean Sheet 15%
South Shields Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scarborough Athletic South Shields
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.31 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields
0:1
Feb 10, 2026 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields
2:2
Oct 21, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Scarborough Athletic
4:0
Feb 1, 2025 National League North
South Shields vs Scarborough Athletic
1:1
Aug 31, 2024 National League North
Scarborough Athletic vs South Shields
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scarborough Athletic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

South Shields Compare

Top Goalscorer Finch S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scarborough Athletic 31 / 100
South Shields 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scarborough Athletic South Shields

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Shields Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scarborough Athletic scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

South Shields has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Scarborough Athletic remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scarborough Athletic VS South Shields
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Scarborough Athletic

(Home)
19 Sept
Dunston
0 : 2
Scarborough Athletic
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Macclesfield
0 : 0
Scarborough Athletic
05 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 1
Telford
31 Aug
King’s Lynn
3 : 1
Scarborough Athletic
Page 1 of 6

South Shields

(Away)
19 Sept
South Shields
7 : 0
Witton Albion
12 Sept
Hereford
6 : 0
South Shields
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1
Marine
05 Sept
Hednesford
0 : 1
South Shields
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1
Spalding United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hereford 9 7 1 1 21:4 22
2 Oxford City 9 6 1 2 17:6 19
3 Macclesfield 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
4 Spalding United 9 5 2 2 13:6 17
5 Hebburn Town 9 5 2 2 15:15 17
6 South Shields 8 5 2 1 9:10 17
7 Buxton 9 5 1 3 18:14 16
8 Bedford 9 5 0 4 13:13 15
9 Chester 9 4 2 3 9:8 14
10 Morecambe 9 4 1 4 13:8 13
11 Merthyr Town 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
12 King’s Lynn 9 4 1 4 15:15 13
13 Harborough 9 3 3 3 10:11 12
14 Worksop 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
15 Scarborough Athletic 9 3 2 4 14:11 11
16 Chorley 9 3 2 4 14:16 11
17 Marine 9 3 0 6 10:11 9
18 Telford 9 2 3 4 8:10 9
19 Hednesford 9 2 3 4 13:16 9
20 Southport 9 2 2 5 11:18 8
21 Brackley 8 2 2 4 7:16 8
22 Radcliffe 9 2 0 7 8:16 6
23 Darlington FC 9 2 0 7 11:20 6
24 Spennymoor 9 1 3 5 9:19 6
Promotion - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North (Play Offs)