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SCD Durango vs Pasaia

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
SCD Durango
20%
Draws
23%
Pasaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SCD Durango lately — more wins on the board than Pasaia.
  • SCD Durango are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 19%
Pasaia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Pasaia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Pasaia
0:0
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs SCD Durango
0:2
May 10, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Pasaia
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Pasaia vs SCD Durango
3:2
Feb 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Pasaia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 85 / 100
Pasaia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Pasaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pasaia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

SCD Durango has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS Pasaia
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
16 Apr
Lagun Onak
0 : 1
SCD Durango
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Pasaia

(Away)
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
Eibar C
3 : 0
Pasaia
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 1
Anorga
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
15 Apr
Pasaia
3 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 34 24 6 4 70:29 78
2 Leioa 34 18 7 9 50:34 61
3 Derio 34 17 7 10 54:40 58
4 Lagun Onak 34 17 6 11 54:34 57
5 Touring KE 34 16 9 9 47:35 57
6 Real Sociedad C 34 17 4 13 48:39 55
7 San Ignacio 34 16 7 11 37:27 55
8 Aurrera de Vitoria 34 16 6 12 42:41 54
9 Alaves C 34 15 8 11 57:40 53
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 13 6 15 56:61 45
11 SCD Durango 34 11 11 12 35:36 44
12 Santurtzi 34 9 12 13 32:45 39
13 Eibar C 34 9 9 16 44:53 36
14 Pasaia 34 9 9 16 26:46 36
15 Anorga 34 11 4 19 37:59 34
16 Zamudio 34 9 6 19 42:59 33
17 Zarautz KE 34 8 6 20 30:60 30
18 SD Deusto 34 6 7 21 26:49 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)