Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010

Salvatierra

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SCD Durango play Salvatierra in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. SCD Durango are favorites here. Recently, SCD Durango averaged 1.26 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. Salvatierra averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, SCD Durango won 2, Salvatierra won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 20, 2010 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for SCD Durango and 1.00 for Salvatierra. This points to a SCD Durango double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%

SCD Durango

20%

Draws

12%

Salvatierra

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

SCD Durango picked up more points recently compared to Salvatierra.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.00 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 52%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

SCD Durango Clean Sheet 23%

Salvatierra Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SCD Durango	Salvatierra
Matches Played	39	30
Wins	16	1
Draws	10	4
Losses	13	25
Goals Scored	1.26	0.67
Goals Conceded	1.08	2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

SCD Durango vs Salvatierra

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

4:0

Oct 31, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Salvatierra vs SCD Durango

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 66 / 100

Salvatierra 13 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SCD Durango Salvatierra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)

Secondary Pick SCD Durango & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.6%

1.67

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.8%

2.17

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SCD Durango attacking → ← attacking Salvatierra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango scored in 69% of their last 39 games.

Salvatierra let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

SCD Durango went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Salvatierra lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

58 Points in last 5 7

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Sociedad B	38	21	12	5	68:23	75
2	Portugalete	38	19	12	7	65:31	69
3	Amorebieta	38	19	11	8	58:34	68
4	Elgoibar	38	19	8	11	40:29	65
5	Gernika Club	38	17	12	9	54:38	63
6	Beasain	38	18	9	11	58:35	63
7	SCD Durango	38	15	14	9	56:44	59
8	Amurrio Club	38	14	15	9	53:42	57
9	Zamudio	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
10	Baskonia	38	13	13	12	53:56	52
11	Laudio	38	12	13	13	31:31	49
12	Santurtzi	38	11	15	12	45:40	48
13	Zalla UC	38	13	8	17	38:47	47
14	Eibar B	38	12	10	16	46:57	46
15	Arenas Getxo	38	11	13	14	29:41	46
16	Leioa	38	13	6	19	45:59	45
17	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	33:42	43
18	UD Aretxabaleta	38	10	11	17	33:58	41
19	Retuerto Sport	38	5	11	22	31:74	26
20	Salvatierra	38	2	7	29	22:80	13