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SCD Durango vs Somorrostro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SCD Durango
20%
Draws
47%
Somorrostro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Somorrostro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SCD Durango have won more games recently than Somorrostro.
  • Model gives Somorrostro a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 20%
Somorrostro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Somorrostro
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 10 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Somorrostro
0:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs SCD Durango
3:1
Feb 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs SCD Durango
3:2
Sep 18, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Somorrostro
1:0
Apr 8, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Somorrostro vs SCD Durango
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 28 / 100
Somorrostro 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Somorrostro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Somorrostro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango scored in 68% of their last 40 games.

Somorrostro has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

SCD Durango has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
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Somorrostro

(Away)
29 Aug
Santurtzi
1 : 3
Somorrostro
12 Jun
Sodupe
1 : 3
Somorrostro
05 Jun
Somorrostro
1 : 1
CD Ariznabarra
29 May
Lagun Onak
2 : 1
Somorrostro
22 May
Somorrostro
3 : 0
Santurtzi
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