Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SCD Durango vs Tolosa

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
SCD Durango Logo

SCD Durango

2 - 3
FT
Tolosa Logo

Tolosa

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between SCD Durango and Tolosa finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tolosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
SCD Durango
20%
Draws
0%
Tolosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SCD Durango

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • SCD Durango carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on SCD Durango taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%
Tolosa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Tolosa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.37 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Tolosa
2:3
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs SCD Durango
2:0
Jun 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs SCD Durango
0:2
May 1, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Tolosa
0:0
Jan 11, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Tolosa vs SCD Durango
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 95 / 100
Tolosa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Tolosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tolosa has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Tolosa registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

SCD Durango's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
26 Sept
Beasain
1 : 2
SCD Durango
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
SCD Durango
3 : 3
San Ignacio
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
Page 1 of 6

Tolosa

(Away)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 1
Tolosa
13 Apr
Tolosa
2 : 3
Lagun Onak
09 Apr
CD Vitoria
3 : 2
Tolosa
02 Apr
Tolosa
1 : 4
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)