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SCD Durango vs Urduliz FT

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Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Pastrian M.
54'
Imaz A.

AI Match Summary

SCD Durango in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SCD Durango.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SCD Durango
20%
Draws
40%
Urduliz FT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • SCD Durango have won more games recently than Urduliz FT.
  • SCD Durango are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
SCD Durango Clean Sheet 68%
Urduliz FT Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Durango Urduliz FT
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.33 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Urduliz FT
1:0
Oct 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs SCD Durango
2:2
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SCD Durango vs Urduliz FT
4:0
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs SCD Durango
2:0
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Urduliz FT vs SCD Durango
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Durango Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastrian M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Urduliz FT Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Durango 77 / 100
Urduliz FT 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Durango Urduliz FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Durango Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SCD Durango scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Urduliz FT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SCD Durango stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SCD Durango VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Durango

(Home)
19 Aug
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Pasaia
09 May
SCD Durango
4 : 1
Santurtzi
03 May
Real Sociedad C
4 : 0
SCD Durango
25 Apr
SCD Durango
0 : 0
Pasaia
16 Apr
Lagun Onak
0 : 1
SCD Durango
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Urduliz FT

(Away)
10 May
Urduliz FT
0 : 0
Beasain
03 May
Pasaia
0 : 2
Urduliz FT
27 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 0
San Ignacio
17 Apr
Basconia
8 : 0
Urduliz FT
12 Apr
Urduliz FT
3 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)