Sport Picks
SCD Progresso vs Cittadella Vis Modena
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
90'
90'
Fort F.
AI Match Summary
Cittadella Vis Modena in this Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella Vis Modena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cittadella Vis Modena have won more games recently than SCD Progresso.
- Model gives Cittadella Vis Modena a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 18%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SCD Progresso | Cittadella Vis Modena |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.79 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:1
Oct 5, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs SCD Progresso
1:2
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Cittadella Vis Modena vs SCD Progresso
1:1
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SCD Progresso Compare
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Cittadella Vis Modena Compare
Top Goalscorer Fort F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SCD Progresso 23 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SCD Progresso Cittadella Vis Modena
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: SCD Progresso scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Cittadella Vis Modena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.
SCD Progresso has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SCD Progresso VS Cittadella Vis Modena
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SCD Progresso
(Home) 20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1 Correggese
28 Mar
SCD Progresso
1 : 2 Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
(Away) 20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0 Varese FC
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0 Tropical Coriano
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2 Cittadella Vis Modena
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
06 Sept
Varesina
3 : 2 Cittadella Vis Modena
01 Aug
Livorno
2 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
03 May
Pistoiese
5 : 0 Cittadella Vis Modena
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1 Cittadella Vis Modena
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
