Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SCD Progresso vs Sangiuliano City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Sartori G.

AI Match Summary

Sangiuliano City in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sangiuliano City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SCD Progresso
6%
Draws
4%
Sangiuliano City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SCD Progresso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sangiuliano City lately — more wins on the board than SCD Progresso.
  • Win probability leans SCD Progresso's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Sangiuliano City have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 68%
Sangiuliano City Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Progresso Sangiuliano City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Sangiuliano City
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs SCD Progresso
2:1
Jan 14, 2024 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Sangiuliano City
0:0
Sep 17, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sangiuliano City vs SCD Progresso
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SCD Progresso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Sangiuliano City Compare

Top Goalscorer Sartori G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Progresso 95 / 100
Sangiuliano City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Progresso Sangiuliano City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: SCD Progresso stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

SCD Progresso scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Sangiuliano City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Away concern: Sangiuliano City has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SCD Progresso VS Sangiuliano City
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Progresso

(Home)
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1
SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2
SCD Progresso
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1
Correggese
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

Sangiuliano City

(Away)
03 May
Sangiuliano City
0 : 5
Desenzano Calvina
26 Apr
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 0
Sangiuliano City
19 Apr
Sangiuliano City
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
12 Apr
Crema
0 : 2
Sangiuliano City
02 Apr
Sangiuliano City
3 : 3
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Desenzano Calvina34238360:2177
2Lentigione34227551:2373
3Pistoiese342011361:2271
4Piacenza34197860:3564
5Pro Palazzolo34169944:3157
6Pro Sesto341510945:3055
7Cittadella Vis Modena341510935:2955
8Rovato Vertovese3414101035:2952
9Sangiuliano City341481241:4547
10SCD Progresso341091538:4239
11Sant'Angelo341091538:5139
12Correggese349121335:3639
13Crema349111435:4738
14Imolese348101628:4734
15Sasso Marconi34871933:4931
16Tropical Coriano347101729:4531
17Trevigliese34582131:6223
18Tuttocuoio34082618:738
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)