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SCD Progresso vs Vigor Carpaneto

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2019/2020
Wed, Mar 11, 2020
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SCD Progresso host Vigor Carpaneto in the Serie D - Group D 2019/2020. Little to choose between these two on current form. Vigor Carpaneto have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while SCD Progresso have conceded 1.37 and scored 1.1. Past meetings favor SCD Progresso slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 11, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.85 - 1.13) back Vigor Carpaneto to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SCD Progresso
20%
Draws
52%
Vigor Carpaneto
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vigor Carpaneto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Vigor Carpaneto haven't matched SCD Progresso's recent run of results.
  • Vigor Carpaneto are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 20%
Vigor Carpaneto Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SCD Progresso Vigor Carpaneto
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.1 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2020 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Vigor Carpaneto
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group D
Vigor Carpaneto vs SCD Progresso
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SCD Progresso 28 / 100
Vigor Carpaneto 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SCD Progresso Vigor Carpaneto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vigor Carpaneto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vigor Carpaneto conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.

SCD Progresso's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: SCD Progresso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SCD Progresso VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SCD Progresso

(Home)
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3
Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0
SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1
Scandicci
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1
SCD Progresso
03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1
Sasso Marconi
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Vigor Carpaneto

(Away)
16 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Correggese
09 Feb
Crema
1 : 2
Vigor Carpaneto
02 Feb
Vigor Carpaneto
2 : 1
Fiorenzuola
26 Jan
Mantova
1 : 1
Vigor Carpaneto
19 Jan
Vigor Carpaneto
1 : 1
Mezzolara
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