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Schaffhausen vs Lugano II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Berger N.
38' Event
Peverelli Y.
59' Event
Del Toro D.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Schaffhausen and Lugano II finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schaffhausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Schaffhausen
6%
Draws
4%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Schaffhausen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Schaffhausen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Schaffhausen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Schaffhausen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 19%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schaffhausen Lugano II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 6
Draws 2 11
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Promotion League
Schaffhausen vs Lugano II
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Schaffhausen
0:0
Apr 21, 2012 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Schaffhausen vs Lugano II
3:0
Sep 25, 2011 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Lugano II vs Schaffhausen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schaffhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Berger N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Del Toro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Peverelli Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raffa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schaffhausen 85 / 100
Lugano II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schaffhausen Lugano II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lugano II has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Schaffhausen scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Schaffhausen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schaffhausen VS Lugano II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kriens342545100:4379
2Bruhl SG34226687:4672
3Biel34197878:4664
4Basel II34178965:4859
5Bavois341741364:5355
6Young Boys II341591066:5254
7Schaffhausen341651351:4653
8Bulle341561370:6451
9Cham341481262:6150
10Grand-Saconnex3411101371:6943
11Zurich II341181559:6241
12Breitenrain341181547:5141
13Luzern II3410101480:8340
14FC Kreuzlingen348131343:6637
15Lugano II348121445:7536
16Paradiso348111551:6535
17Lausanne II34942160:8431
18Vevey34152828:1132