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Schaffhausen vs Lugano II

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Berger N.
38' Event
Peverelli Y.
59' Event
Del Toro D.

AI Match Summary

The Promotion League 2025/2026 game between Schaffhausen and Lugano II finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schaffhausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Schaffhausen
15%
Draws
48%
Lugano II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lugano II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Schaffhausen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Schaffhausen here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 14%
Lugano II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schaffhausen Lugano II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.86 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Promotion League
Schaffhausen vs Lugano II
4:2
Nov 8, 2025 Promotion League
Lugano II vs Schaffhausen
0:0
Apr 21, 2012 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Schaffhausen vs Lugano II
3:0
Sep 25, 2011 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Lugano II vs Schaffhausen
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Schaffhausen Compare

Top Goalscorer Berger N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Del Toro D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lugano II Compare

Top Goalscorer Peverelli Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raffa C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schaffhausen 31 / 100
Lugano II 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schaffhausen Lugano II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugano II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Schaffhausen scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Lugano II let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Schaffhausen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schaffhausen VS Lugano II
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Schaffhausen

(Home)
12 Sept
Bruhl SG
1 : 1
Schaffhausen
05 Sept
Schaffhausen
0 : 3
Young Fellows Juventus
30 Aug
Zurich II
3 : 1
Schaffhausen
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0
Bellinzona
19 Aug
Grand-Saconnex
1 : 4
Schaffhausen
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Lugano II

(Away)
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 0
Lugano II
29 Aug
Lugano II
3 : 2
Bavois
23 Aug
Biel
5 : 2
Lugano II
15 Aug
Lugano II
4 : 3
Luzern II
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)