Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Sub
Arnold R. In: Sidler S.
Out: Arnold R.
38'
38'
Citherlet T.
41'
41'
Diaby S.
AI Match Summary
Winterthur in this Swiss Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Winterthur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Schaffhausen lately — more wins on the board than Winterthur.
- Model gives Winterthur a 43% chance of winning this.
- Schaffhausen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Winterthur, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 10%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Schaffhausen | Winterthur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2025 Swiss Cup
Schaffhausen vs Winterthur
0:4
Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Schaffhausen
3:0
Apr 29, 2022 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Schaffhausen
1:1
Feb 25, 2022 Challenge League
Schaffhausen vs Winterthur
3:2
Nov 26, 2021 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Schaffhausen
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Schaffhausen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Winterthur Compare
Top Goalscorer Chiappetta C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Buess R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Schaffhausen 10 / 100
Winterthur 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Schaffhausen Winterthur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Winterthur Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Schaffhausen scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Winterthur conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.
Schaffhausen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Schaffhausen VS Winterthur
2.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Schaffhausen
(Home) 19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1 Lugano II
12 Sept
Bruhl SG
1 : 1 Schaffhausen
05 Sept
Schaffhausen
0 : 3 Young Fellows Juventus
30 Aug
Zurich II
3 : 1 Schaffhausen
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0 Bellinzona
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Schaffhausen
2 : 1 Lugano II
05 Sept
Schaffhausen
0 : 3 Young Fellows Juventus
22 Aug
Schaffhausen
1 : 0 Bellinzona
08 Aug
Schaffhausen
3 : 0 FC Kreuzlingen
25 Jul
Schaffhausen
2 : 4 St. Gallen II
Page 1 of 3
Winterthur
(Away) 18 Sept
Winterthur
2 : 1 Aarau
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Winterthur
04 Sept
Winterthur
4 : 0 Xamax
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2 Winterthur
28 Aug
Winterthur
1 : 1 Lausanne Ouchy
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Etoile-Carouge
0 : 1 Winterthur
01 Sept
Stade Nyonnais
2 : 2 Winterthur
21 Aug
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 2 Winterthur
15 Aug
Zurich City SC
1 : 3 Winterthur
31 Jul
Kriens
2 : 0 Winterthur
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Vernier 0
Echallens 1
Veyrier-Sports 0
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Harkingen 2
Schaffhausen 3
SV Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 5
Zug 1
Mendrisio 0
Breitenrain 1
Thun 0
Breitenbach 0
Bosna Neuchatel 5
Perlen-Buchrain 0
Luzern 3
Romanshorn 2
Altstatten 4
Cham 3
Lugano 2
SC Nebikon 0
Bellinzona 4
Lachen/Altendorf 0
Grasshoppers 2
Wohlen 1
Aarau 3
Courtetelle 1
Young Boys 4
FC Lommiswil 1
Prishtina Bern 4
Ajoie-Monterri 0
Sion 2
La Tour Le Paquier 0
Stade Nyonnais 4
Wettswil-Bonstetten 0
Zurich 2
Unterstrass 5
Klingnau 4
Diaspora 2
Xamax 3
Stade Payerne 1
Yverdon 3
Dardania Lausanne 0
Servette 5
Azzurri Bienne 0
Concordia 8
Vevey 1
Lausanne 2
FC Morbio 2
Gossau 1
Volketswil 0
Rapperswil-Jona 8
Kriens 2
Wil 3
Walenstadt 0
St. Gallen 13
CS Le Locle 2
FC Saxon-Sports 1
La Sarraz-Eclepens 1
Grand-Saconnex 4
Bernex 0
Etoile-Carouge 3
Biel 1
Basel 6
1/16-finals
Echallens 0
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Schaffhausen 0
Winterthur 4
Zug 1
Breitenrain 0
Bosna Neuchatel 0
Luzern 6
Altstatten 0
Cham 3
Bellinzona 0
Grasshoppers 1
Aarau 1
Young Boys 0
Prishtina Bern 0
Sion 2
Stade Nyonnais 2
Zurich 1
Unterstrass 0
Xamax 5
Yverdon 1
Servette 0
Concordia 1
Lausanne 4
FC Morbio 0
Rapperswil-Jona 4
Wil 1
St. Gallen 2
CS Le Locle 3
Grand-Saconnex 4
Etoile-Carouge 2
Basel 3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 1
Winterthur 0
Zug 1
Luzern 4
Cham 1
Grasshoppers 2
Aarau 1
Sion 3
Stade Nyonnais 1
Xamax 2
Yverdon 2
Lausanne 1
Rapperswil-Jona 1
St. Gallen 2
Grand-Saconnex 1
Basel 3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Luzern 1
Grasshoppers 4
Sion 3
Xamax 1
Yverdon 2
St. Gallen 2
Basel 1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy 2
Grasshoppers 0
Yverdon 0
St. Gallen 2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy 0
St. Gallen 3
