Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Sub
Arnold R. In: Sidler S.
Out: Arnold R.
38'
38'
Citherlet T.
41'
41'
Diaby S.
AI Match Summary
Winterthur in this Swiss Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Schaffhausen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Schaffhausen lately — more wins on the board than Winterthur.
- Model gives Schaffhausen a 50% chance of winning this.
- Schaffhausen have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Winterthur, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Schaffhausen Clean Sheet 68%
Winterthur Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Schaffhausen | Winterthur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.43 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 21, 2025 Swiss Cup
Schaffhausen vs Winterthur
0:4
Jul 2, 2022 Club Friendly
Winterthur vs Schaffhausen
3:0
Apr 29, 2022 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Schaffhausen
1:1
Feb 25, 2022 Challenge League
Schaffhausen vs Winterthur
3:2
Nov 26, 2021 Challenge League
Winterthur vs Schaffhausen
2:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Schaffhausen Compare
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Winterthur Compare
Top Goalscorer Chiappetta C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Buess R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Schaffhausen 59 / 100
Winterthur 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Schaffhausen Winterthur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SCH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Winterthur has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Schaffhausen scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.
Schaffhausen went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Schaffhausen VS Winterthur
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 2.25
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Schaffhausen
(Home) 18 Jul
Freiburg II
1 : 1 Schaffhausen
27 Jun
Zurich
3 : 2 Schaffhausen
30 May
Lausanne II
2 : 1 Schaffhausen
23 May
Schaffhausen
3 : 0 Grand-Saconnex
16 May
Schaffhausen
4 : 2 Lugano II
Page 1 of 7
23 May
Schaffhausen
3 : 0 Grand-Saconnex
16 May
Schaffhausen
4 : 2 Lugano II
02 May
Schaffhausen
3 : 1 Bavois
18 Apr
Schaffhausen
1 : 0 Paradiso
11 Apr
Schaffhausen
1 : 2 Bulle
Page 1 of 3
Winterthur
(Away) 24 Jul
Winterthur
2 : 2 Yverdon
17 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1 Union Berlin
14 Jul
Winterthur
1 : 1 Bruhl SG
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2 Winterthur
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2 Winterthur
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2 Winterthur
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2 Winterthur
27 Jun
Pfaffikon
0 : 2 Winterthur
12 May
Grasshoppers
3 : 2 Winterthur
26 Apr
Servette
5 : 3 Winterthur
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Vernier0
Echallens1
Veyrier-Sports0
Lausanne Ouchy2
Harkingen2
Schaffhausen3
SV Schaffhausen0
Winterthur5
Zug1
Mendrisio0
Breitenrain1
Thun0
Breitenbach0
Bosna Neuchatel5
Perlen-Buchrain0
Luzern3
Romanshorn2
Altstatten4
Cham3
Lugano2
SC Nebikon0
Bellinzona4
Lachen/Altendorf0
Grasshoppers2
Wohlen1
Aarau3
Courtetelle1
Young Boys4
FC Lommiswil1
Prishtina Bern4
Ajoie-Monterri0
Sion2
La Tour Le Paquier0
Stade Nyonnais4
Wettswil-Bonstetten0
Zurich2
Unterstrass5
Klingnau4
Diaspora2
Xamax3
Stade Payerne1
Yverdon3
Dardania Lausanne0
Servette5
Azzurri Bienne0
Concordia8
Vevey1
Lausanne2
FC Morbio2
Gossau1
Volketswil0
Rapperswil-Jona8
Kriens2
Wil3
Walenstadt0
St. Gallen13
CS Le Locle2
FC Saxon-Sports1
La Sarraz-Eclepens1
Grand-Saconnex4
Bernex0
Etoile-Carouge3
Biel1
Basel6
1/16-finals
Echallens0
Lausanne Ouchy1
Schaffhausen0
Winterthur4
Zug1
Breitenrain0
Bosna Neuchatel0
Luzern6
Altstatten0
Cham3
Bellinzona0
Grasshoppers1
Aarau1
Young Boys0
Prishtina Bern0
Sion2
Stade Nyonnais2
Zurich1
Unterstrass0
Xamax5
Yverdon1
Servette0
Concordia1
Lausanne4
FC Morbio0
Rapperswil-Jona4
Wil1
St. Gallen2
CS Le Locle3
Grand-Saconnex4
Etoile-Carouge2
Basel3
1/8-finals
Lausanne Ouchy1
Winterthur0
Zug1
Luzern4
Cham1
Grasshoppers2
Aarau1
Sion3
Stade Nyonnais1
Xamax2
Yverdon2
Lausanne1
Rapperswil-Jona1
St. Gallen2
Grand-Saconnex1
Basel3
Quarter-finals
Lausanne Ouchy2
Luzern1
Grasshoppers4
Sion3
Xamax1
Yverdon2
St. Gallen2
Basel1
Semi-finals
Lausanne Ouchy2
Grasshoppers0
Yverdon0
St. Gallen2
Final
Lausanne Ouchy0
St. Gallen3