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Scherpenberg vs SW Essen Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niederrhein
Scherpenberg Logo

Scherpenberg

5 - 3
FT
SW Essen Logo

SW Essen

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Scherpenberg in this Oberliga Niederrhein matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Scherpenberg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Scherpenberg
20%
Draws
50%
SW Essen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SW Essen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SW Essen lately — more wins on the board than Scherpenberg.
  • Model gives SW Essen a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Niederrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Scherpenberg Clean Sheet 10%
SW Essen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scherpenberg SW Essen
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.11 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Oberliga Niederrhein
Scherpenberg vs SW Essen
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scherpenberg 18 / 100
SW Essen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scherpenberg SW Essen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SW Essen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SW Essen let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 8.00 goals.

Scherpenberg's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.

Recent resilience: Scherpenberg stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scherpenberg VS SW Essen
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Scherpenberg

(Home)
02 Oct
Germania Ratingen
2 : 0
Scherpenberg
27 Sept
Scherpenberg
2 : 1
FC Monheim
20 Sept
Juchen-Garzweiler
3 : 1
Scherpenberg
11 Sept
Scherpenberg
1 : 2
Solingen-Wald
04 Sept
Uerdingen
6 : 1
Scherpenberg
Page 1 of 2

SW Essen

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Monheim
1 : 1
SW Essen
27 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 3
Juchen-Garzweiler
20 Sept
Solingen-Wald
3 : 2
SW Essen
13 Sept
SW Essen
1 : 1
Uerdingen
06 Sept
Meerbusch
0 : 1
SW Essen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schonnebeck 7 6 1 0 28:8 19
2 SSVg Velbert 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Dusseldorf II 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
4 SC St.Tonis 8 4 2 2 17:12 14
5 Baumberg 8 4 2 2 18:16 14
6 Uerdingen 8 4 1 3 19:9 13
7 Sonsbeck 8 3 4 1 14:10 13
8 Juchen-Garzweiler 8 4 1 3 18:18 13
9 Dingden 8 4 1 3 10:11 13
10 Germania Ratingen 8 2 5 1 14:14 11
11 FC Monheim 8 2 3 3 15:13 9
12 Solingen-Wald 7 3 0 4 12:17 9
13 Scherpenberg 8 2 2 4 11:18 8
14 Wuppertaler 8 2 1 5 11:10 7
15 SW Essen 8 1 3 4 11:18 6
16 Buderich 7 1 2 4 8:21 5
17 Meerbusch 7 0 2 5 2:14 2
18 Holzheim 7 0 1 6 7:26 1
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)