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Schwadorf vs Ober Grafendorf

Austria Austria

Niederosterreich 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Schwadorf play Ober Grafendorf in the Niederosterreich 2012/2013. Ober Grafendorf are favorites here. Recently, Schwadorf averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. Ober Grafendorf averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Schwadorf won 0, Ober Grafendorf won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 25, 2013 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Schwadorf and 1.00 for Ober Grafendorf. This points to a Ober Grafendorf double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Schwadorf
25%
Draws
60%
Ober Grafendorf
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Ober Grafendorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Schwadorf picked up more points recently compared to Ober Grafendorf.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Over 3.5 Goals 30%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%
Schwadorf Clean Sheet 23%
Ober Grafendorf Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schwadorf Ober Grafendorf
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 3 3
Draws 7 3
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 0.8 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.6

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2013 Niederosterreich
Ober Grafendorf vs Schwadorf
1:0
Oct 12, 2012 Niederosterreich
Schwadorf vs Ober Grafendorf
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schwadorf 18 / 100
Ober Grafendorf 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schwadorf Ober Grafendorf

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ober Grafendorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Ober Grafendorf & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.5%
2.27
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Schwadorf attacking → ← attacking Ober Grafendorf

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schwadorf scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Schwadorf went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

16 Points in last 5 12
1.67 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.67 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00