Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Schwarzach vs Bergheim

Austria Austria

Salzburg 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Salzburg 2022/2023 game between Schwarzach and Bergheim finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bergheim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Schwarzach
15%
Draws
42%
Bergheim
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Schwarzach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Schwarzach come out ahead of Bergheim on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bergheim a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Salzburg 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Schwarzach Clean Sheet 14%
Bergheim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schwarzach Bergheim
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 1 2
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 1.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.58 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2023 Salzburg
Schwarzach vs Bergheim
2:5
Oct 21, 2022 Salzburg
Bergheim vs Schwarzach
1:2
May 17, 2014 Salzburg
Schwarzach vs Bergheim
3:0
Oct 12, 2013 Salzburg
Bergheim vs Schwarzach
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schwarzach 27 / 100
Bergheim 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schwarzach Bergheim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergheim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bergheim has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Schwarzach scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Difficult form: Bergheim registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schwarzach VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Schwarzach

(Home)
18 Sept
Schwarzach
0 : 4
Strasswalchen
13 Sept
UFC Siezenheim
2 : 1
Schwarzach
04 Sept
Schwarzach
3 : 2
USV 1960 Berndorf
29 Aug
Seekirchen U21
5 : 0
Schwarzach
21 Aug
Schwarzach
1 : 3
Puch
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Bergheim

(Away)
15 Feb
SAK 1914
3 : 0
Bergheim
10 Jun
Bergheim
0 : 4
Eugendorf
03 Jun
Schwarzach
2 : 5
Bergheim
26 May
Bergheim
1 : 3
Puch
17 May
Strasswalchen
3 : 2
Bergheim
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