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Schwaz vs FC Lustenau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Schwaz host FC Lustenau in the Regionalliga West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. FC Lustenau have shipped 2.59 goals a game lately, while Schwaz have conceded 2.34 and scored 2.28. Past meetings favor Schwaz slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 23, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.88 vs 1.69, favoring Schwaz. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Schwaz
20%
Draws
9%
FC Lustenau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Schwaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Schwaz come out ahead of FC Lustenau on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Schwaz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Schwaz Clean Sheet 13%
FC Lustenau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schwaz FC Lustenau
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 5
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 2.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Regionalliga West
FC Lustenau vs Schwaz
2:2
Oct 18, 2025 Regionalliga West
Schwaz vs FC Lustenau
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schwaz 84 / 100
FC Lustenau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schwaz FC Lustenau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Schwaz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Schwaz scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: FC Lustenau conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Schwaz went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schwaz VS FC Lustenau
3 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Schwaz

(Home)
23 Oct
Schwaz
3 : 1
SK St. Johann
18 Oct
FC Wolfurt
2 : 5
Schwaz
10 Oct
Schwaz
4 : 3
Tirol (Am)
03 Oct
Reichenau
1 : 2
Schwaz
26 Sept
Schwaz
3 : 0
Dornbirn
Page 1 of 6

FC Lustenau

(Away)
24 Oct
Rothis
4 : 3
FC Lustenau
17 Oct
FC Lustenau
3 : 4
Fugen
10 Oct
SC Imst
7 : 2
FC Lustenau
03 Oct
Lochau
1 : 1
FC Lustenau
26 Sept
FC Lustenau
1 : 1
SK St. Johann
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SC Imst 13 10 1 2 28:10 31
2 Schwaz 13 10 1 2 35:22 31
3 Hohenems 13 10 0 3 33:16 30
4 Kitzbuhel 13 8 1 4 29:19 25
5 Dornbirn 13 7 3 3 25:13 24
6 Rothis 13 7 3 3 27:23 24
7 Tirol (Am) 13 6 2 5 36:25 20
8 SK St. Johann 13 5 3 5 21:19 18
9 Fugen 13 5 1 7 26:33 16
10 Lauterach 13 4 3 6 24:27 15
11 Reichenau 13 4 3 6 17:22 15
12 Kufstein 13 3 5 5 19:18 14
13 Lochau 13 3 2 8 16:31 11
14 Altach U21 13 2 3 8 17:31 9
15 FC Lustenau 13 1 4 8 17:38 7
16 FC Wolfurt 13 1 1 11 18:41 4
Promotion - Regionalliga Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)