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Schwaz vs Kitzbuhel

Austria Austria

Regionalliga West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West game between Schwaz and Kitzbuhel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Schwaz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Schwaz
15%
Draws
48%
Kitzbuhel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kitzbuhel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kitzbuhel come out ahead of Schwaz on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Schwaz's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Schwaz Clean Sheet 10%
Kitzbuhel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Schwaz Kitzbuhel
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 1
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.93 2.04
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Regionalliga West
Schwaz vs Kitzbuhel
3:1
May 9, 2026 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs Schwaz
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Regionalliga West
Schwaz vs Kitzbuhel
2:1
May 28, 2025 Regionalliga West
Kitzbuhel vs Schwaz
2:0
Oct 25, 2024 Regionalliga West
Schwaz vs Kitzbuhel
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Schwaz 34 / 100
Kitzbuhel 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Schwaz Kitzbuhel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Schwaz scored in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Kitzbuhel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Schwaz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Schwaz VS Kitzbuhel
1.63 Goals Scored 2.25
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Schwaz

(Home)
05 Sept
Hohenems
3 : 1
Schwaz
30 Aug
Schwaz
3 : 1
Kitzbuhel
23 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 2
SC Imst
15 Aug
Lauterach
3 : 3
Schwaz
08 Aug
Schwaz
2 : 1
Rothis
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Kitzbuhel

(Away)
09 Sept
Kitzbuhel
3 : 2
SC Imst
06 Sept
Kitzbuhel
0 : 2
Grazer AK
30 Aug
Schwaz
3 : 1
Kitzbuhel
23 Aug
Kitzbuhel
4 : 2
Lauterach
14 Aug
Kitzbuhel
4 : 0
Rothis
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dornbirn 6 5 1 0 20:3 16
2 SC Imst 7 5 1 1 12:4 16
3 Hohenems 6 5 0 1 18:6 15
4 Kitzbuhel 6 4 0 2 14:9 12
5 SK St. Johann 7 3 2 2 9:8 11
6 Tirol (Am) 7 3 1 3 13:10 10
7 Schwaz 6 3 1 2 12:12 10
8 Fugen 7 3 1 3 13:14 10
9 Reichenau 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
10 Rothis 6 2 2 2 9:12 8
11 Kufstein 6 1 4 1 8:8 7
12 Lochau 7 2 1 4 11:19 7
13 Altach U21 7 1 3 3 12:15 6
14 FC Wolfurt 7 1 1 5 9:17 4
15 Lauterach 7 0 3 4 11:17 3
16 FC Lustenau 7 0 2 5 4:19 2
Promotion - Regionalliga Play Offs 2026/2027 (Main)