Sport Picks
Match Events
40'
40'
Sabic B.
85'
85'
Jakel N.
AI Match Summary
The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Schwaz and Wals-Grunau finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Wals-Grunau
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Wals-Grunau carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Schwaz Clean Sheet 20%
Wals-Grunau Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Schwaz | Wals-Grunau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.89 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.37 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 2, 2026 Regionalliga West
Schwaz vs Wals-Grunau
1:1
Sep 27, 2025 Regionalliga West
Wals-Grunau vs Schwaz
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Regionalliga West
Schwaz vs Wals-Grunau
0:2
Aug 9, 2024 Regionalliga West
Wals-Grunau vs Schwaz
1:0
May 29, 2024 Regionalliga West
Schwaz vs Wals-Grunau
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Schwaz Compare
Top Goalscorer Jakel N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Wals-Grunau Compare
Top Goalscorer Sabic B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Schwaz 32 / 100
Wals-Grunau 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Schwaz Wals-Grunau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wals-Grunau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Schwaz scored in 81% of their last 27 games.
Wals-Grunau has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Schwaz went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Schwaz VS Wals-Grunau
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
3.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Schwaz
(Home) 13 Sept
Schwaz
2 : 1 Kufstein
05 Sept
Hohenems
3 : 1 Schwaz
30 Aug
Schwaz
3 : 1 Kitzbuhel
23 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 2 SC Imst
15 Aug
Lauterach
3 : 3 Schwaz
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Schwaz
2 : 1 Kufstein
30 Aug
Schwaz
3 : 1 Kitzbuhel
23 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 2 SC Imst
08 Aug
Schwaz
2 : 1 Rothis
05 Aug
Schwaz
0 : 15 Augsburg
Page 1 of 4
Wals-Grunau
(Away) 18 Sept
Seekirchen
0 : 0 Wals-Grunau
12 Sept
Wals-Grunau
2 : 1 Johann
08 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 2 Wals-Grunau
29 Aug
Wals-Grunau
2 : 1 Pinzgau Saalfelden
21 Aug
Kuchl
2 : 2 Wals-Grunau
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Seekirchen
0 : 0 Wals-Grunau
08 Sept
Wallern/St Marienkirchen
1 : 2 Wals-Grunau
21 Aug
Kuchl
2 : 2 Wals-Grunau
11 Aug
Grodig
2 : 3 Wals-Grunau
31 Jul
Bad Leonfelden
1 : 1 Wals-Grunau
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wacker Innsbruck | 32 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 88:18 | 86 |
| 2 | Kuchl | 32 | 21 | 2 | 9 | 61:43 | 65 |
| 3 | SC Imst | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 71:38 | 64 |
| 4 | Seekirchen | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 83:51 | 61 |
| 5 | Dornbirn | 32 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 62:46 | 52 |
| 6 | Bischofshofen | 32 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 61:49 | 51 |
| 7 | Hohenems | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 60:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Kitzbuhel | 32 | 14 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 46 |
| 9 | Reichenau | 32 | 14 | 3 | 15 | 44:55 | 45 |
| 10 | Schwaz | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 57:56 | 44 |
| 11 | Wals-Grunau | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 56:65 | 41 |
| 12 | FC Lustenau | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49:78 | 34 |
| 13 | Johann | 32 | 9 | 5 | 18 | 45:58 | 32 |
| 14 | Pinzgau Saalfelden | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26:60 | 27 |
| 15 | Altach U21 | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 35:75 | 27 |
| 16 | Kufstein | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 33:55 | 25 |
| 17 | Lauterach | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 46:80 | 23 |
Promotion - 2. Liga (Main)
