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Scotland U16 vs Northern Ireland U16

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Friendly International 2024 Broadwood Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Scotland U16 play Northern Ireland U16 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Scotland U16 averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Northern Ireland U16 averaged 1.29 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Scotland U16 won 1, Northern Ireland U16 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 24, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Scotland U16 and 1.06 for Northern Ireland U16. This points to a Northern Ireland U16 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Scotland U16
19%
Draws
41%
Northern Ireland U16
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Northern Ireland U16

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Scotland U16 picked up more points recently compared to Northern Ireland U16.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Scotland U16 Clean Sheet 22%
Northern Ireland U16 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland U16 Northern Ireland U16
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.3 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2025 Friendly International
Scotland U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
2:0
Oct 10, 2024 Friendly International
Scotland U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
0:1
Nov 8, 2023 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Scotland U16
2:2
Oct 26, 2012 Friendly International
Scotland U16 vs Northern Ireland U16
1:2
Nov 4, 2011 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U16 vs Scotland U16
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland U16 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Northern Ireland U16 Compare

Top Goalscorer Madden C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland U16 40 / 100
Northern Ireland U16 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland U16 Northern Ireland U16

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Northern Ireland U16 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.8%
2.17
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Scotland U16 attacking → ← attacking Northern Ireland U16

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland U16 scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Northern Ireland U16 let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scotland U16 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland U16 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 34
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00