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Scotland U21 vs Iceland U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Andresson B.
33'
Pollock F.
40' Event
Gudmundsson E.

AI Match Summary

Iceland U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iceland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Scotland U21
11%
Draws
9%
Iceland U21
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Scotland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Iceland U21 have won more games recently than Scotland U21.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Scotland U21 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Iceland U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland U21 Iceland U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.63 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Scotland U21 vs Iceland U21
1:6
Nov 17, 2022 Friendly International
Scotland U21 vs Iceland U21
1:2
Oct 5, 2016 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Scotland U21
2:0
Oct 13, 2015 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Iceland U21
0:0
Oct 11, 2010 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Iceland U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer One R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Andresson B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gudmundsson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland U21 86 / 100
Iceland U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland U21 Iceland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland U21 found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Iceland U21 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scotland U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scotland U21 VS Iceland U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
14 Oct
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 3
Scotland U21
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Iceland U21

(Away)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
10 Oct
Switzerland U21
0 : 0
Iceland U21
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