Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scotland U21 vs Spain U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

53'
Anderson M.
56'
Sub
Ramsay C. In: Milne J.
Out: Ramsay C.
56'
Sub
Bowie K. In: Mebude A.
Out: Bowie K.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Scotland U21 and Spain U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Spain U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Scotland U21
20%
Draws
52%
Spain U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spain U21 come out ahead of Scotland U21 on wins alone.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Spain U21 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Scotland U21 Clean Sheet 11%
Spain U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland U21 Spain U21
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 20
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.61 2.33
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2024 Euro U21
Scotland U21 vs Spain U21
1:2
Sep 11, 2023 Euro U21
Spain U21 vs Scotland U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mebude A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Spain U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Huijsen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joseph M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland U21 10 / 100
Spain U21 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland U21 Spain U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland U21 scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Scotland U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Spain U21 conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Scotland U21 VS Spain U21
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Portugal U21
3 : 0
Scotland U21
27 Mar
Scotland U21
0 : 0
Czech Republic U21
18 Nov
Scotland U21
1 : 0
Bulgaria U21
15 Nov
Gibraltar U21
0 : 2
Scotland U21
14 Oct
Azerbaijan U21
3 : 3
Scotland U21
Page 1 of 7

Spain U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Spain U21
2 : 0
Kosovo U21
27 Mar
Cyprus U21
0 : 7
Spain U21
18 Nov
Romania U21
0 : 2
Spain U21
14 Nov
Spain U21
7 : 0
San Marino U21
14 Oct
Spain U21
2 : 1
Finland U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)