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Scotland vs Curacao

World World

Friendly International Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Chong T.
Assist: Obispo A.
36'
Chong T.
38'
Locadia J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Scotland and Curacao finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scotland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Scotland
15%
Draws
26%
Curacao
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scotland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Scotland have managed 1.46 goals a game lately — Curacao are scoring more at 1.93.
  • Scotland are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Scotland Clean Sheet 68%
Curacao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Curacao
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.46 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Friendly International
Scotland vs Curacao
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer Shankland L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Curtis F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Chong T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 77 / 100
Curacao 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Curacao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Scotland's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scotland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Curacao registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Curacao
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
19 Jun
Scotland
0 : 1
Morocco
14 Jun
Haiti
0 : 1
Scotland
06 Jun
Bolivia
0 : 4
Scotland
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
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Curacao

(Away)
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
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