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Scotland vs Switzerland - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Hendry J.
12' Event
Rodriguez R.
13'
Sub
Bowie K. In: Welsh S.
Out: Bowie K.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Scotland and Switzerland finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Switzerland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Scotland
15%
Draws
64%
Switzerland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Switzerland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Switzerland come out ahead of Scotland on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Switzerland taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Scotland Clean Sheet 16%
Switzerland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland Switzerland
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.33 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Scotland vs Switzerland
0:3
Jun 19, 2024 Euro
Scotland vs Switzerland
1:1
Mar 1, 2006 Friendly International
Scotland vs Switzerland
1:3
Jun 18, 1996 Euro
Scotland vs Switzerland
1:0
Sep 7, 1993 World Championship
Scotland vs Switzerland
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Switzerland Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Elvedi N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland 10 / 100
Switzerland 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland Switzerland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Switzerland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scotland's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Switzerland let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Scotland remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scotland VS Switzerland
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland

(Home)
06 Oct
Scotland
1 : 2
Slovenia
03 Oct
North Macedonia
0 : 2
Scotland
29 Sept
Scotland
0 : 3
Switzerland
26 Sept
Slovenia
0 : 0
Scotland
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
Page 1 of 6

Switzerland

(Away)
06 Oct
Switzerland
3 : 0
North Macedonia
03 Oct
Switzerland
2 : 1
Slovenia
29 Sept
Scotland
0 : 3
Switzerland
26 Sept
North Macedonia
0 : 3
Switzerland
12 Jul
Argentina
3 : 1
Switzerland
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Slovenia 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Scotland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 North Macedonia 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Northern Ireland 4 2 2 0 4:0 8
2 Hungary 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
3 Ukraine 4 1 1 2 2:5 4
4 Georgia 4 0 2 2 0:2 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 4 2 2 0 9:5 8
2 Kosovo 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
3 Ireland 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
4 Israel 4 0 2 2 2:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
3 Poland 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
4 Romania 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)