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Scotland W vs China W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 Chapín, Jerez
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Howat K.
14' Event
Hanson K.
Assist: Howat K.
15' Event
Howat K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Scotland W and China W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scotland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Scotland W
30%
Draws
27%
China W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scotland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • China W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Scotland W a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Scotland W Clean Sheet 68%
China W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland W China W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.04 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Scotland W vs China W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Howat K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hanson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.9

China W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Linyan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wu Chengshu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland W 68 / 100
China W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland W China W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Scotland W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scotland W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

China W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Scotland W VS China W
2.71 Goals Scored 2.13
0.29 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Israel W
1 : 5
Scotland W
05 Jun
Scotland W
6 : 0
Israel W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Scotland W
7 : 0
Luxembourg W
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China W

(Away)
02 Oct
China W
0 : 1
South Korea W
29 Sept
North Korea W
2 : 0
China W
25 Sept
China W
1 : 0
Vietnam W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Uzbekistan W
1 : 1
China W
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