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Scotland W vs Luxembourg W Prediction & H2H Stats

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World Cup Women Hampden Park, Glasgow
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
McGovern K.
Assist: Weir C.
10' Event
Clark J.
Assist: Weir C.
32' Event
McGovern K.
Assist: Newsham C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 7-0. This leg finished 7-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Scotland W
20%
Draws
0%
Luxembourg W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scotland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Scotland W have won more games recently than Luxembourg W.
  • Scotland W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Scotland W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Scotland W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Scotland W Clean Sheet 68%
Luxembourg W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scotland W Luxembourg W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.83
Expected Goals (xG) 3.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
Scotland W vs Luxembourg W
7:0
Mar 3, 2026 World Cup Women
Luxembourg W vs Scotland W
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scotland W Compare

Top Goalscorer McGovern K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Clark J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.74
Avg xA / game 1.78

Luxembourg W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scotland W 95 / 100
Luxembourg W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scotland W Luxembourg W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scotland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luxembourg W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Scotland W remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Luxembourg W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scotland W VS Luxembourg W
2.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Scotland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Israel W
1 : 5
Scotland W
05 Jun
Scotland W
6 : 0
Israel W
18 Apr
Belgium W
0 : 0
Scotland W
14 Apr
Scotland W
1 : 1
Belgium W
07 Mar
Scotland W
7 : 0
Luxembourg W
Page 1 of 6

Luxembourg W

(Away)
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Luxembourg W
1 : 3
Israel W
14 Apr
Israel W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
07 Mar
Scotland W
7 : 0
Luxembourg W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wales W 6 4 2 0 17:5 14
2 Czech Republic W 6 3 2 1 18:8 11
3 Albania W 6 2 1 3 9:14 7
4 Montenegro W 6 0 1 5 6:23 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland W 6 5 1 0 18:5 16
2 Turkey W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
3 Northern Ireland W 6 2 0 4 10:9 6
4 Malta W 6 0 0 6 4:24 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal W 6 5 0 1 17:4 15
2 Finland W 6 5 0 1 15:6 15
3 Slovakia W 6 2 0 4 8:17 6
4 Latvia W 6 0 0 6 4:17 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland W 6 4 2 0 24:2 14
2 Belgium W 6 4 2 0 22:1 14
3 Israel W 6 2 0 4 10:20 6
4 Luxembourg W 6 0 0 6 1:34 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)