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Scunthorpe vs Forest Green

England England

National League Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Scunthorpe host Forest Green in the National League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Scunthorpe have averaged 1.77 scored and 1.3 conceded recently, against Forest Green's 1.86 scored and 1.54 conceded. Past meetings favor Forest Green slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Forest Green. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Scunthorpe
20%
Draws
38%
Forest Green
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Scunthorpe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Scunthorpe have managed 1.77 goals a game lately — Forest Green are scoring more at 1.86.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 15%
Forest Green Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Forest Green
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.77 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 National League
Scunthorpe vs Forest Green
3:2
Sep 13, 2025 National League
Forest Green vs Scunthorpe
1:1
Apr 2, 2022 League Two
Forest Green vs Scunthorpe
1:0
Oct 16, 2021 League Two
Scunthorpe vs Forest Green
0:2
Apr 17, 2021 League Two
Forest Green vs Scunthorpe
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 30 / 100
Forest Green 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Forest Green

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Forest Green conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Scunthorpe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Scunthorpe VS Forest Green
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Scunthorpe

(Home)
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Forest Green

(Away)
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Forest Green
1 : 3
Boston United
15 Sept
Carlisle
1 : 1
Forest Green
12 Sept
Forest Green
4 : 0
Gateshead
05 Sept
Hornchurch
0 : 1
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 10 8 2 0 26:11 26
2 Southend 10 6 2 2 25:16 20
3 AFC Fylde 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Harrogate 10 6 1 3 24:17 19
5 Aldershot 10 5 3 2 15:8 18
6 Yeovil 10 5 3 2 19:14 18
7 Kidderminster 10 5 3 2 13:8 18
8 Altrincham 10 6 0 4 15:15 18
9 Worthing FC 10 5 2 3 19:16 17
10 Sutton 10 5 2 3 13:13 17
11 Hornchurch 10 5 0 5 11:15 15
12 Forest Green 10 4 2 4 16:17 14
13 Eastleigh 10 4 2 4 12:14 14
14 Halifax 10 4 1 5 15:13 13
15 Woking 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
16 Barrow 10 3 3 4 15:14 12
17 Wealdstone 10 3 2 5 15:15 11
18 Boston United 10 3 2 5 13:14 11
19 Carlisle 10 2 4 4 18:19 10
20 Scunthorpe 10 3 1 6 15:16 10
21 Hartlepool 10 3 0 7 8:15 9
22 Tamworth 10 2 2 6 17:28 8
23 Solihull Moors 10 1 1 8 9:26 4
24 Gateshead 10 1 1 8 6:24 4
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