Sport Picks
Scunthorpe vs Newcastle Utd U21
England
National League Cup 2025/2026 Attis Arena, Scunthorpe 
Match Events
33'
33'
Oteh A.
Assist: Scales K.
39'
39'
Horton B.
46'
46'
Sub
Denton T. In: Starbuck J.
Out: Denton T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-0, with Scunthorpe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scunthorpe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Newcastle Utd U21 haven't matched Scunthorpe's recent run of results.
- Model gives Scunthorpe a 57% chance of winning this.
- Scunthorpe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Scunthorpe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 60%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 16%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Scunthorpe | Newcastle Utd U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.73 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.26 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 2, 2025 National League Cup
Scunthorpe vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Scunthorpe Compare
Top Goalscorer Oteh A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Howe D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.74
Avg xA / game 1.13
Newcastle Utd U21 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Scunthorpe 48 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Scunthorpe Newcastle Utd U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Scunthorpe found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd U21 conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Newcastle Utd U21 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Scunthorpe VS Newcastle Utd U21
2.38 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.14
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 57%
Recent Form & Match History
Scunthorpe
(Home) 16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2 Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
31 Aug
Carlisle
4 : 2 Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2 Boreham Wood
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1 Nottingham U21
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
28 Aug
Scunthorpe
3 : 1 Solihull Moors
18 Aug
Scunthorpe
4 : 0 Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 3
Newcastle Utd U21
(Away) 15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4 Fulham U21
24 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 3 Tottenham U21
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
18 Aug
Tamworth
5 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
