Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scunthorpe vs Newcastle Utd U21

England England

National League Cup Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Oteh A.
Assist: Scales K.
39'
Horton B.
46'
Sub
Denton T. In: Starbuck J.
Out: Denton T.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Scunthorpe advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Scunthorpe
6%
Draws
4%
Newcastle Utd U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Scunthorpe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd U21 haven't matched Scunthorpe's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Scunthorpe a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Scunthorpe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Scunthorpe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 20%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Newcastle Utd U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 2, 2025 National League Cup
Scunthorpe vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scunthorpe Compare

Top Goalscorer Oteh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Howe D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 85 / 100
Newcastle Utd U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Newcastle Utd U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Scunthorpe found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Newcastle Utd U21 conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scunthorpe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Scunthorpe VS Newcastle Utd U21
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Scunthorpe

(Home)
28 Jul
North Ferriby FC
3 : 6
Scunthorpe
21 Jul
Buxton
2 : 0
Scunthorpe
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2
Scunthorpe
15 Jul
Skegness Town
0 : 1
Scunthorpe
07 Jul
Brigg Town
1 : 7
Scunthorpe
Page 1 of 6

Newcastle Utd U21

(Away)
27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1
Wolves U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
13 Mar
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 0
Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamworth440012:112
2Brackley43017:310
3Rochdale43016:59
4Solihull Moors43016:38
5Everton U2142024:55
6Manchester United U2141034:93
7Burnley U2140042:81
8Blackburn U2140042:90
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood440013:412
2Braintree43018:59
3Wealdstone43016:49
4Forest Green42028:67
5Nottingham U2142023:36
6West Brom U2141035:103
7Leicester U2141036:102
8Wolves U2140045:120
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham U21440013:411
2Truro43017:59
3Woking43015:48
4Brighton U2142025:67
5Aldershot41037:114
6Sutton41038:134
7Fulham U2141038:53
8Southampton U2141037:122
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boston United430111:49
2Halifax43016:29
3Newcastle Utd U2142027:67
4Scunthorpe42028:86
5Leeds U2142026:86
6Sunderland U2142025:86
7Middlesbrough U2141036:73
8Gateshead41034:102
Promotion - National League Cup (Play Offs)