Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Scunthorpe vs Stoke City U21

England England

National League Cup Attis Arena, Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe Logo

Scunthorpe

4 - 0
FT
Stoke City U21 Logo

Stoke City U21

Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Anderson F.
38'
Newall J.
45' Event
Parker H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Scunthorpe
15%
Draws
21%
Stoke City U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Scunthorpe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Scunthorpe have won more games recently than Stoke City U21.
  • Model gives Scunthorpe a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Scunthorpe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Scunthorpe, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Scunthorpe Clean Sheet 20%
Stoke City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Scunthorpe Stoke City U21
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.75 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Scunthorpe vs Stoke City U21
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Scunthorpe Compare

Top Goalscorer Gale J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Parker H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Stoke City U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Scunthorpe 85 / 100
Stoke City U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Scunthorpe Stoke City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Scunthorpe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stoke City U21 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Scunthorpe scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Scunthorpe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Scunthorpe VS Stoke City U21
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Scunthorpe

(Home)
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1
Hartlepool
19 Sept
Hornchurch
1 : 0
Scunthorpe
16 Sept
Scunthorpe
1 : 2
Boreham Wood
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Scunthorpe
2 : 1
Nottingham U21
Page 1 of 6

Stoke City U21

(Away)
21 Sept
Bournemouth U21
2 : 1
Stoke City U21
16 Sept
Stoke City U21
0 : 2
B. Monchengladbach II
11 Sept
Stoke City U21
4 : 0
Wolves U21
08 Sept
Wealdstone
6 : 0
Stoke City U21
04 Sept
Stockport U21
4 : 0
Stoke City U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 Scunthorpe 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
4 Wolves U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
5 Derby U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
8 Stoke City U21 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Norwich U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
3 Braintree 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
4 Hornchurch 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
5 Fulham U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
6 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 1:4 2
7 Worthing FC 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
8 Aldershot 2 0 0 2 2:5 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Everton U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
4 Tamworth 2 1 0 1 6:6 3
5 Leeds U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Newcastle Utd U21 2 0 0 2 4:7 0
7 Solihull Moors 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
8 Hartlepool 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Birmingham U21 2 2 0 0 4:3 5
3 West Brom U21 2 2 0 0 1:0 5
4 Woking 2 1 0 1 4:1 4
5 Sutton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
6 Leicester U21 2 0 0 2 1:4 1
7 Boston United 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
8 Southampton U21 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)