Sport Picks
SD Deusto vs Aurrera de Vitoria
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 
Match Events
10'
10'
Anduaga A.
48'
48'
Diaz Hortelano N.
AI Match Summary
Aurrera de Vitoria in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aurrera de Vitoria.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aurrera de Vitoria lately — more wins on the board than SD Deusto.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Aurrera de Vitoria taking it.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
SD Deusto Clean Sheet 18%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SD Deusto | Aurrera de Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs SD Deusto
2:1
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Aurrera de Vitoria
0:2
Apr 1, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs SD Deusto
0:2
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Deusto vs Aurrera de Vitoria
2:0
Feb 17, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs SD Deusto
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SD Deusto Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Aurrera de Vitoria Compare
Top Goalscorer Anduaga A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diaz Hortelano N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SD Deusto 20 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SD Deusto Aurrera de Vitoria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aurrera de Vitoria has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
SD Deusto scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Solid form: SD Deusto remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SD Deusto VS Aurrera de Vitoria
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
SD Deusto
(Home) 09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Deusto
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3 Leioa
26 Apr
Eibar C
5 : 0 SD Deusto
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Anorga
11 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 1 SD Deusto
Page 1 of 6
03 May
SD Deusto
1 : 3 Leioa
18 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 Anorga
02 Apr
SD Deusto
3 : 0 UD Aretxabaleta
21 Mar
SD Deusto
0 : 2 Santurtzi
07 Mar
SD Deusto
0 : 3 Pasaia
Page 1 of 3
Aurrera de Vitoria
(Away) 12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1 Touring KE
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0 Amorebieta
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1 SD Deusto
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
03 May
Portugalete
1 : 2 Aurrera de Vitoria
18 Apr
Derio
1 : 1 Aurrera de Vitoria
01 Apr
Alaves C
1 : 1 Aurrera de Vitoria
15 Mar
Eibar C
0 : 1 Aurrera de Vitoria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugalete | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 70:29 | 78 |
| 2 | Leioa | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 50:34 | 61 |
| 3 | Derio | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 54:40 | 58 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 54:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Touring KE | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad C | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 7 | San Ignacio | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 37:27 | 55 |
| 8 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 42:41 | 54 |
| 9 | Alaves C | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 57:40 | 53 |
| 10 | UD Aretxabaleta | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 56:61 | 45 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 35:36 | 44 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32:45 | 39 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 44:53 | 36 |
| 14 | Pasaia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26:46 | 36 |
| 15 | Anorga | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 37:59 | 34 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 42:59 | 33 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 30:60 | 30 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 26:49 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
