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SD Ejea vs Naxara

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ciriano D.
37' Event
Villoslada I.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
SD Ejea
28%
Draws
50%
Naxara
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Naxara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Naxara lately — more wins on the board than SD Ejea.
  • Win probability leans Naxara's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
SD Ejea Clean Sheet 17%
Naxara Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Ejea Naxara
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Ejea vs Naxara
1:1
Dec 6, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Naxara vs SD Ejea
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Ejea Compare

Top Goalscorer Ciriano D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Naxara Compare

Top Goalscorer Villoslada I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Ejea 23 / 100
Naxara 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Ejea Naxara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAX Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Naxara conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Attacking prowess: SD Ejea scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Naxara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Ejea VS Naxara
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Ejea

(Home)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
SD Ejea
1 : 1
Eibar B
18 Apr
Alaves B
3 : 0
SD Ejea
11 Apr
SD Ejea
3 : 2
Real Union
02 Apr
Tudelano
3 : 1
SD Ejea
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Naxara

(Away)
02 May
Eibar B
3 : 2
Naxara
26 Apr
Naxara
1 : 0
Beasain
19 Apr
Alfaro
2 : 1
Naxara
12 Apr
Naxara
2 : 0
SD Logrones
05 Apr
Real Union
3 : 0
Naxara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)