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SD Erandio vs Alaves C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Cantero Sanchez A.
80' Event
Cantero Sanchez A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between SD Erandio and Alaves C finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alaves C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
SD Erandio
15%
Draws
64%
Alaves C
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alaves C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SD Erandio haven't matched Alaves C's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Alaves C taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 15%
Alaves C Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Erandio Alaves C
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 0.97 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Alaves C
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Erandio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Alaves C Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero Sanchez A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Erandio 10 / 100
Alaves C 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Erandio Alaves C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alaves C Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alaves C's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

SD Erandio's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Solid form: SD Erandio remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Erandio VS Alaves C
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Erandio

(Home)
10 Oct
SD Erandio
0 : 2
Alaves C
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
Page 1 of 6

Alaves C

(Away)
10 Oct
SD Erandio
0 : 2
Alaves C
04 Oct
Alaves C
5 : 1
Sodupe
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 Real Sociedad C 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)