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SD Erandio vs Amurrio Club - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Artabe A.
90' Event
Zugazaga I.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 game between SD Erandio and Amurrio Club finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Erandio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SD Erandio
15%
Draws
21%
Amurrio Club
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Erandio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • SD Erandio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SD Erandio a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 68%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Erandio Amurrio Club
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 9
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 0.97 1
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Amurrio Club
2:0
May 16, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs SD Erandio
2:2
Jan 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Amurrio Club
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Erandio Compare

Top Goalscorer Artabe A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zugazaga I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Amurrio Club Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Erandio 95 / 100
Amurrio Club 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Erandio Amurrio Club

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Erandio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.67 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Amurrio Club conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Amurrio Club registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: SD Erandio scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

SD Erandio VS Amurrio Club
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Erandio

(Home)
10 Oct
SD Erandio
0 : 2
Alaves C
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
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Amurrio Club

(Away)
10 Oct
Real Sociedad C
1 : 0
Amurrio Club
04 Oct
Amurrio Club
0 : 5
Leioa
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
20 Sept
Amurrio Club
0 : 0
Sodupe
12 Sept
Alaves C
3 : 0
Amurrio Club
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 Real Sociedad C 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
5 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
6 Pasaia 5 3 1 1 7:6 10
7 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
8 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
9 UD Aretxabaleta 5 2 2 1 4:3 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)