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SD Erandio vs Aurrera de Vitoria

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 game between SD Erandio and Aurrera de Vitoria finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SD Erandio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
SD Erandio
30%
Draws
51%
Aurrera de Vitoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aurrera de Vitoria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aurrera de Vitoria come out ahead of SD Erandio on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Aurrera de Vitoria taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 20%
Aurrera de Vitoria Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Erandio Aurrera de Vitoria
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.9 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
SD Erandio vs Aurrera de Vitoria
1:0
Dec 14, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Aurrera de Vitoria vs SD Erandio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Erandio 24 / 100
Aurrera de Vitoria 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Erandio Aurrera de Vitoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aurrera de Vitoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurrera de Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Recent resilience: SD Erandio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

SD Erandio's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

SD Erandio VS Aurrera de Vitoria
0.6 Goals Scored 0.88
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
40% Over 1.5 63%
20% Over 2.5 25%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Erandio

(Home)
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
05 Sept
Pasaia
0 : 2
SD Erandio
12 Aug
Santurtzi
0 : 0
SD Erandio
16 May
Amurrio Club
2 : 2
SD Erandio
Page 1 of 6

Aurrera de Vitoria

(Away)
19 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
Alaves C
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
05 Sept
Amurrio Club
1 : 2
Aurrera de Vitoria
29 Aug
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 0
Amorebieta
09 May
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Deusto
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugalete 38 20 15 3 68:27 75
2 Gernika Club 38 21 12 5 54:21 75
3 Arenas Getxo 38 20 11 7 62:31 71
4 SCD Durango 38 20 7 11 43:30 67
5 Beasain 38 18 13 7 52:41 67
6 Zalla UC 38 18 12 8 50:36 66
7 Alaves B 38 16 10 12 52:41 58
8 Real Sociedad C 38 15 12 11 38:32 57
9 Balmaseda 38 16 7 15 43:37 55
10 Santurtzi 38 14 9 15 48:49 51
11 Zamudio 38 13 11 14 53:49 50
12 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 14 7 17 44:48 49
13 Santutxu FC 38 12 10 16 31:43 46
14 Bermeo 38 10 15 13 35:49 45
15 Lagun Onak 38 11 10 17 38:43 43
16 Basconia 38 10 12 16 44:57 42
17 Pasaia 38 10 8 20 35:49 38
18 SD Erandio 38 9 5 24 33:62 32
19 Oiartzun 38 5 11 22 24:55 26
20 Amurrio Club 38 5 9 24 25:72 24
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2014/2015 (Main)