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SD Erandio vs Touring KE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SD Erandio host Touring KE in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Touring KE have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while SD Erandio have conceded 1.62 and scored 0.97. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 1.06, favoring Touring KE. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
SD Erandio
20%
Draws
58%
Touring KE
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Touring KE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Touring KE lately — more wins on the board than SD Erandio.
  • Touring KE are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SD Erandio Clean Sheet 20%
Touring KE Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Erandio Touring KE
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Erandio 24 / 100
Touring KE 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Erandio Touring KE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Touring KE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Touring KE conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

SD Erandio found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: SD Erandio stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Touring KE registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SD Erandio VS Touring KE
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Erandio

(Home)
10 Oct
SD Erandio
0 : 2
Alaves C
03 Oct
Aurrera de Vitoria
2 : 1
SD Erandio
26 Sept
SD Erandio
2 : 0
Amurrio Club
19 Sept
Eibar C
3 : 1
SD Erandio
12 Sept
SD Erandio
0 : 1
Real Union B
Page 1 of 6

Touring KE

(Away)
10 Oct
Sodupe
1 : 0
Touring KE
03 Oct
Touring KE
2 : 2
SCD Durango
26 Sept
Alaves C
1 : 2
Touring KE
19 Sept
Touring KE
2 : 0
Beasain
12 Sept
Aurrera de Vitoria
1 : 1
Touring KE
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurrera de Vitoria 7 5 1 1 12:8 16
2 Leioa 6 3 3 0 16:6 12
3 Derio 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
4 UD Aretxabaleta 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
5 Real Sociedad C 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
6 Alaves C 6 3 1 2 13:6 10
7 Pasaia 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
8 San Ignacio 6 2 2 2 10:8 8
9 Touring KE 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
10 Sodupe 6 2 2 2 5:9 8
11 SCD Durango 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
12 Beasain 6 2 1 3 7:8 7
13 Lagun Onak 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
14 SD Erandio 6 2 0 4 6:8 6
15 Santurtzi 6 2 0 4 3:7 6
16 Eibar C 6 1 2 3 9:10 5
17 Real Union B 6 1 2 3 7:12 5
18 Amurrio Club 6 0 1 5 1:13 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 (Play Offs)