Sport Picks
SD Ibiza vs Platges de Calvia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 
Match Events
44'
44'
Munoz L.
70'
70'
Vargas F.
80'
80'
Garrido A.
AI Match Summary
SD Ibiza in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Ibiza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
15%
35%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SD Ibiza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- SD Ibiza haven't matched Platges de Calvia's recent run of results.
- 50% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 68%
Platges de Calvia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SD Ibiza | Platges de Calvia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.22 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.26 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Platges de Calvia
2:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs SD Ibiza
0:1
Dec 3, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Platges de Calvia
0:0
May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Platges de Calvia vs SD Ibiza
2:0
May 2, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Platges de Calvia
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SD Ibiza Compare
Top Goalscorer Munoz L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vargas F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Platges de Calvia Compare
Top Goalscorer Garrido A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SD Ibiza 41 / 100
Platges de Calvia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SD Ibiza Platges de Calvia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SD Ibiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SD Ibiza has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: SD Ibiza scored in 78% of their last 27 outings.
Defensive concern: Platges de Calvia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
SD Ibiza VS Platges de Calvia
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SD Ibiza
(Home) 04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0 Formentera
26 Sept
Andratx
0 : 0 SD Ibiza
20 Sept
SD Ibiza
1 : 0 Sineu
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3 SD Ibiza
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1 Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0 Formentera
20 Sept
SD Ibiza
1 : 0 Sineu
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1 Platges de Calvia
03 May
SD Ibiza
3 : 1 UD Poblense
26 Apr
SD Ibiza
2 : 2 Andratx
Page 1 of 3
Platges de Calvia
(Away) 03 Oct
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1 Migjorn
26 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 0 Cardassar
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
12 Sept
Platges de Calvia
1 : 2 Manacor
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1 Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Binissalem
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
06 Sept
SD Ibiza
2 : 1 Platges de Calvia
10 May
Cardassar
3 : 1 Platges de Calvia
26 Apr
Mercadal
1 : 0 Platges de Calvia
22 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 3 Platges de Calvia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Constancia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10:3 | 13 |
| 3 | SD Ibiza | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:2 | 13 |
| 4 | Cardassar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Platges de Calvia | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 9 |
| 8 | Porreres | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 9 | Formentera | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 10 | PE Sant Jordi | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 12 | Mercadal | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Andratx | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 14 | Binissalem | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Arenal | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Migjorn | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Inter Ibiza | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | 1 |
| 18 | Sineu | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)
