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SD Logrones vs Mutilvera

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Las Gaunas, Logroño
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Santafe D.
34'
Santafe D.
44' Event
Goikoetxea X.

AI Match Summary

Mutilvera in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutilvera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
SD Logrones
35%
Draws
13%
Mutilvera
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mutilvera at 0.89 per game, SD Logrones at 0.6.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on SD Logrones taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
SD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Logrones Mutilvera
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 6
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.6 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Mutilvera
1:3
Jan 4, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs SD Logrones
1:1
Jan 23, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs SD Logrones
1:1
Oct 25, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Mutilvera
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Logrones Compare

Top Goalscorer Telletxea I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Goikoetxea X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roldan X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Logrones 86 / 100
Mutilvera 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Logrones Mutilvera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Logrones Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutilvera let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: SD Logrones remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Mutilvera's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Logrones VS Mutilvera
0.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Logrones

(Home)
06 Sept
SD Logrones
1 : 2
Espanyol B
19 Aug
Izarra
1 : 1
SD Logrones
01 Aug
SD Logrones
0 : 0
Osasuna B
17 May
SD Logrones
1 : 0
Castellon B
10 May
Castellon B
2 : 3
SD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Mutilvera

(Away)
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)