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SD Logrones vs Sestao

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Las Gaunas, Logroño
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Match Events

81'
Argente G.
81'
Argente G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
SD Logrones
20%
Draws
33%
Sestao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Logrones

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Sestao have won more games recently than SD Logrones.
  • Model gives SD Logrones a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
SD Logrones Clean Sheet 68%
Sestao Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Logrones Sestao
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.57 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
SD Logrones vs Sestao
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs SD Logrones
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Sestao vs SD Logrones
2:0
Sep 10, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 1
SD Logrones vs Sestao
3:0
Jan 13, 2013 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Sestao vs SD Logrones
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Logrones 68 / 100
Sestao 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Logrones Sestao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SDL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sestao conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: SD Logrones remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

SD Logrones's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SD Logrones VS Sestao
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Logrones

(Home)
01 Aug
SD Logrones
0 : 0
Osasuna B
17 May
SD Logrones
1 : 0
Castellon B
10 May
Castellon B
2 : 3
SD Logrones
03 May
SD Logrones
0 : 1
Tudelano
26 Apr
Alfaro
0 : 1
SD Logrones
Page 1 of 6

Sestao

(Away)
01 Aug
Sestao
2 : 1
Portugalete
29 Jul
Sestao
0 : 1
Ath Bilbao B
22 Jul
Sestao
0 : 2
Ath Bilbao
03 May
Sestao
1 : 0
Utebo FC
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1
Sestao
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)