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SD Negreira vs Deportivo Fabril

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between SD Negreira and Deportivo Fabril finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo Fabril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SD Negreira
6%
Draws
90%
Deportivo Fabril
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Deportivo Fabril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo Fabril come out ahead of SD Negreira on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Deportivo Fabril's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Deportivo Fabril have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SD Negreira Clean Sheet 19%
Deportivo Fabril Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Negreira Deportivo Fabril
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 7 9
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Deportivo Fabril
0:2
Oct 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs SD Negreira
2:1
Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Deportivo Fabril
2:3
Nov 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Deportivo Fabril vs SD Negreira
1:1
Mar 30, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
SD Negreira vs Deportivo Fabril
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Negreira 10 / 100
Deportivo Fabril 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Negreira Deportivo Fabril

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DEP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Negreira scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Deportivo Fabril has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

SD Negreira has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Deportivo Fabril
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%