Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
SD Noja in this Tercera Division - Group 3 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SD Noja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SD Noja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to SD Noja lately — more wins on the board than CA Deva.
- SD Noja are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors SD Noja here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 16%
CA Deva Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SD Noja | CA Deva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 4 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 2.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 1, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs SD Noja
0:5
Jan 3, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CA Deva
4:0
Mar 1, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CA Deva
2:0
Oct 19, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
CA Deva vs SD Noja
1:2
Feb 9, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs CA Deva
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SD Noja 57 / 100
CA Deva 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SD Noja CA Deva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SD Noja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
CA Deva let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Away concern: CA Deva has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
SD Noja scored in 52% of their last 31 games.
Scoring Trends
SD Noja VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
SD Noja
(Home) 09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2 UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0 SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1 CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1 SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
Page 1 of 7
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2 UC Cartes
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1 CD Revilla
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2 CD Colindres
29 Mar
SD Noja
1 : 3 CD Laredo
15 Mar
SD Noja
0 : 1 Torina
Page 1 of 3
CA Deva
(Away) 09 May
Bezana
3 : 0 CA Deva
01 May
CA Deva
0 : 5 SD Noja
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1 CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1 CA Deva
11 Apr
CA Deva
0 : 1 SD Reocin
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Bezana
3 : 0 CA Deva
24 Apr
Solares
5 : 1 CA Deva
17 Apr
Selaya
2 : 1 CA Deva
03 Apr
Barreda Balompie
1 : 1 CA Deva
28 Mar
Vimenor
2 : 1 CA Deva
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gimnastic de Torrelavega | 38 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 103:15 | 101 |
| 2 | SD Noja | 38 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 85:19 | 86 |
| 3 | CD Tropezon | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 56:16 | 82 |
| 4 | UM Escobedo | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 74:33 | 75 |
| 5 | SD Reocin | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 76:38 | 67 |
| 6 | Bezana | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 56:34 | 66 |
| 7 | CD Siete Villas | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 51:55 | 54 |
| 8 | Castro | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 46:41 | 53 |
| 9 | CD Laredo | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 42:51 | 49 |
| 10 | Atletico Albericia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 36:48 | 49 |
| 11 | Barreda Balompie | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 42:59 | 49 |
| 12 | CA Deva | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 55:48 | 48 |
| 13 | Ribamontan al Mar | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 51:56 | 46 |
| 14 | Cayon CD | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 47:72 | 40 |
| 15 | Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 38:65 | 39 |
| 16 | Solares | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:53 | 39 |
| 17 | Vimenor | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Santona | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 41:66 | 36 |
| 19 | Guarnizo | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 20:57 | 26 |
| 20 | Velarde | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 15:126 | 6 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
