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SD Noja vs Vimenor

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
De Cos Rico S.
90' Event
Bilous V.

AI Match Summary

Vimenor in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vimenor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
SD Noja
20%
Draws
65%
Vimenor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vimenor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vimenor lately — more wins on the board than SD Noja.
  • Win probability leans Vimenor's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vimenor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%
Vimenor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SD Noja Vimenor
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 15
Draws 5 5
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.69 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Vimenor
0:2
Sep 14, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs SD Noja
4:0
Mar 26, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Vimenor
0:5
Nov 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs SD Noja
2:0
Mar 18, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
SD Noja vs Vimenor
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Noja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vimenor Compare

Top Goalscorer De Cos Rico S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bilous V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Noja 10 / 100
Vimenor 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SD Noja Vimenor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vimenor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Vimenor conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

SD Noja scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: SD Noja remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Noja VS Vimenor
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SD Noja

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
01 May
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
6 : 0
SD Noja
26 Apr
SD Noja
0 : 1
CD Revilla
18 Apr
Guarnizo
4 : 1
SD Noja
12 Apr
SD Noja
2 : 2
CD Colindres
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Vimenor

(Away)
13 Sept
Vimenor
2 : 1
UD Samano
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1
Vimenor
05 Sept
Cayon CD
0 : 1
Vimenor
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)