Sport Picks

Australia

NPL NSW Ernie Smith Reserve

SD Raiders

0 - 1

Sydney FC U23

Our Tip

Match Events

75'

Conde N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sydney FC U23 in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sydney FC U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

SD Raiders

40%

Draws

29%

Sydney FC U23

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

SD Raiders have won more games recently than Sydney FC U23.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

SD Raiders Clean Sheet 20%

Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SD Raiders	Sydney FC U23
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	10
Draws	6	8
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 NPL NSW

SD Raiders vs Sydney FC U23

Possession: 52% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Feb 6, 2026 NPL NSW

Sydney FC U23 vs SD Raiders

Possession: 56% - 54% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SD Raiders Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Sydney FC U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Conde N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SD Raiders 32 / 100

Sydney FC U23 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SD Raiders Sydney FC U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SD Raiders scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sydney FC U23 let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: SD Raiders remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SD Raiders VS Sydney FC U23

1 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marconi Stallions	24	17	4	3	45:15	55
2	APIA Leichhardt	24	17	3	4	52:30	54
3	Sydney Utd	24	16	3	5	35:17	51
4	Rockdale Ilinden	24	12	3	9	42:33	39
5	Sutherland Sharks	24	11	3	10	37:31	36
6	Sydney FC U23	24	10	5	9	32:34	35
7	Wollongong	24	9	5	10	28:32	32
8	UNSW	24	9	4	11	35:36	31
9	NWS Spirit	24	9	4	11	28:30	31
10	Manly Utd	24	8	7	9	25:29	31
11	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	24	8	5	11	45:39	29
12	SD Raiders	24	8	5	11	33:41	29
13	Blacktown City	24	6	7	11	33:39	25
14	St. George City	24	6	7	11	22:40	25
15	St George Saints	24	6	1	17	23:45	19
16	Sydney Olympic	24	5	4	15	26:50	19